Match details. Serie C, Group A. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time.
Form. US Folgore Caratese have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L L. Calcio Desenzano have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W L.
The numbers. US Folgore Caratese score 1.1 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. US Folgore Caratese average 11.4 shots (4.7 on target), 5.9 corners and 3.8 cards a game. Calcio Desenzano score 0.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last seven away, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Calcio Desenzano average 8.6 shots (2.6 on target), 3.3 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.20, 79% on the records (US Folgore Caratese: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7; Calcio Desenzano: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: US Folgore Caratese or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Calcio Desenzano or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: US Folgore Caratese 0-0 Calcio Desenzano (16% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USF 7 of 7 (100%) · CAL 7 of 7 (100%)100%
US Folgore Caratese: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Calcio Desenzano: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · US Folgore Caratese: only games against sides at Calcio Desenzano's level · Calcio Desenzano: only games against sides at US Folgore Caratese's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.20
USF 5 of 7 (71%) · CAL 6 of 7 (86%)78.6%
US Folgore Caratese: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Calcio Desenzano: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · US Folgore Caratese: only games against sides at Calcio Desenzano's level · Calcio Desenzano: only games against sides at US Folgore Caratese's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.58
USF 3 of 7 (43%) · CAL 5 of 7 (71%)57.1%
US Folgore Caratese: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Calcio Desenzano: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 57% · US Folgore Caratese: only games against sides at Calcio Desenzano's level · Calcio Desenzano: only games against sides at US Folgore Caratese's level
HALVES
1st Half - GG/NG: NoBACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.13
USF 6 of 7 (86%) · CAL 7 of 7 (100%)92.9%
US Folgore Caratese: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Calcio Desenzano: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · on half-time scores · US Folgore Caratese: only games against sides at Calcio Desenzano's level · Calcio Desenzano: only games against sides at US Folgore Caratese's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.30
USF 6 of 7 (86%) · CAL 6 of 7 (86%)85.7%
US Folgore Caratese: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Calcio Desenzano: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · on half-time scores · US Folgore Caratese: only games against sides at Calcio Desenzano's level · Calcio Desenzano: only games against sides at US Folgore Caratese's level
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USF 7 of 7 (100%) · CAL 6 of 7 (86%)92.9%
US Folgore Caratese's games: over 2.5 cards in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Calcio Desenzano's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · US Folgore Caratese: only games against sides at Calcio Desenzano's level · Calcio Desenzano: only games against sides at US Folgore Caratese's level
Left off the list: US Folgore Caratese or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Calcio Desenzano or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–015.9%
US Folgore Caratese goals →
Calcio Desenzano goals ↓
0-016%
1-013%
2-06%
3-02%
4-00.4%
5-00.1%
0-114%
1-114%
2-16%
3-12%
4-10.4%
5-10.1%
0-28%
1-27%
2-23%
3-20.9%
4-20.2%
5-20.0%
0-33%
1-32%
2-31%
3-30.3%
4-30.1%
5-30.0%
0-40.6%
1-40.6%
2-40.3%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
US FOLGORE CARATESEWLDLDLLDDW1.00 PPG
CALCIO DESENZANOLDDDWLWLDD1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
US FOLGORE CARATESE HOMExCALCIO DESENZANO AWAY
1.10SCORED A GAME0.501.40CONCEDED A GAME0.7020%CLEAN SHEETS50%5.89CORNERS A GAME3.303.78CARDS A GAME1.90
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.86POINTS A GAME1.00-0.29GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.29-0.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-7.01.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.07LEAGUE GAMES7
US Folgore Caratese: the quality side - more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
57%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
42%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
US FOLGORE CARATESE OR DRAW
57%
NO · 80/85
CALCIO DESENZANO OR DRAW
85%
OKAY · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
US FOLGORE CARATESExCALCIO DESENZANO
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME0.601.20CONCEDED A GAME1.002.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE40%4.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.89.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
US Folgore Caratese have scored in 70% of their games.
Calcio Desenzano have scored in 40% of their games.
US Folgore Caratese kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Calcio Desenzano kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards