Match details. Primera B. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Deportes Recoleta have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D L. Santiago Wanderers have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W.
The numbers. Deportes Recoleta score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Deportes Recoleta average 5.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Santiago Wanderers score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Santiago Wanderers average 4.6 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Santiago Wanderers or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Santiago Wanderers or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Deportes Recoleta 1-1 Santiago Wanderers (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.10
DEP 8 of 9 (89%) · SAN 5 of 5 (100%)95.1%
Deportes Recoleta: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Santiago Wanderers: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · Deportes Recoleta: only games against sides at Santiago Wanderers's level · Santiago Wanderers: only games against sides at Deportes Recoleta's level
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
DEP 8 of 9 (89%) · SAN 5 of 5 (100%)95.1%
Deportes Recoleta: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Santiago Wanderers: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · Deportes Recoleta: only games against sides at Santiago Wanderers's level · Santiago Wanderers: only games against sides at Deportes Recoleta's level
DEPORTES RECOLETA GOALS
Deportes Recoleta Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 79%
1.26
DEP 5 of 9 (56%) · SAN 3 of 5 (60%)57.8%
Deportes Recoleta scored in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Santiago Wanderers conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 61% · Deportes Recoleta: only games against sides at Santiago Wanderers's level · Santiago Wanderers: only games against sides at Deportes Recoleta's level
SANTIAGO WANDERERS GOALS
Santiago Wanderers Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.38
DEP 2 of 5 (40%) · SAN 6 of 9 (67%)56.8%
Santiago Wanderers scored in 2 of 5 away · Deportes Recoleta conceded in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Santiago Wanderers: only games against sides at Deportes Recoleta's level · Deportes Recoleta: only games against sides at Santiago Wanderers's level
Left off the list: Santiago Wanderers or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Santiago Wanderers or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Santiago Wanderers or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Santiago Wanderers or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Santiago Wanderers win or both teams score (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.3%
Deportes Recoleta goals →
Santiago Wanderers goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.7%
1-40.9%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
DEPORTES RECOLETADWWDLWDWDL1.60 PPG
SANTIAGO WANDERERSLLWWWDDDLW1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
DEPORTES RECOLETA HOMExSANTIAGO WANDERERS AWAY
1.44SCORED A GAME1.601.32CONCEDED A GAME1.0460%BOTH SCORED40%30%CLEAN SHEETS30%5.52CORNERS A GAME4.602.52CARDS A GAME2.48
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.50POINTS A GAME1.67+0.12GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.11–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.88LEAGUE GAMES9
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
56%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
33%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
99%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
DEPORTES RECOLETA OR DRAW
71%
NO · 80/85
SANTIAGO WANDERERS OR DRAW
43%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
DEPORTES RECOLETAxSANTIAGO WANDERERS
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME0.800.80CONCEDED A GAME1.002.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Deportes Recoleta have scored in 60% of their games.
Santiago Wanderers have scored in 60% of their games.
Deportes Recoleta kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Santiago Wanderers kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards