Match details. Primera B. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Deportes Copiapo have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L L. Puerto Montt have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L.
The numbers. Deportes Copiapo score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Deportes Copiapo average 3.9 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Puerto Montt score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Puerto Montt average 3.9 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
The case against. Puerto Montt's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Deportes Copiapo to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Deportes Copiapo the likelier winners; Deportes Copiapo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Deportes Copiapo. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.29, 88% on the records (Deportes Copiapo: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10; Puerto Montt: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7). Backup: Deportes Copiapo Over 0.5 Goals at 1.20. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Deportes Copiapo 2-1 Puerto Montt (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).