Moyola Park FC vs Glenavon FC
Match details. Championship. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.
Form. Moyola Park FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L W. Glenavon FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L W.
The numbers. Moyola Park FC score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Moyola Park FC average 8.7 shots (2.7 on target), 2.8 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Glenavon FC score 2.4 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Glenavon FC average 13.5 shots (5.0 on target), 7.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 65% against the records' 43%.
The read. No firm call: Glenavon FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Glenavon FC the likelier winners; Glenavon FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The bets. Best bet: Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.56, 70% on the records (Moyola Park FC: both scored in 3 of 6 at home; Glenavon FC: both scored in 9 of 10). Backup: Moyola Park FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.40. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Moyola Park FC 1-2 Glenavon FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).