Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Milltown, Warrenpoint.
What's at stake. Warrenpoint Town FC are 7th on 13 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Newry City AFC, level on points with Ballinamallard United. A win would take them above Newry City AFC. Annagh United FC are 2nd on 20 points after 9 games, level on points with Newington Youth, 3 points clear of Glenavon FC. A win would take them above Newington Youth.
Form. Warrenpoint Town FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L D. Annagh United FC have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W.
The numbers. Warrenpoint Town FC score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Warrenpoint Town FC average 10.3 shots (6.0 on target), 3.7 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Annagh United FC score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Annagh United FC average 10.4 shots (5.6 on target), 5.0 corners and 3.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Warrenpoint Town FC have won four, drawn one and lost three. Two of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Warrenpoint Town FC won one and Annagh United FC won three. The last time they met, on 14 Mar 2026, it finished Warrenpoint Town FC 0-1 Annagh United FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%; six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Warrenpoint Town FC's record still gives them 30% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%.
The read. Annagh United FC to win. A tight game. Annagh United FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Annagh United FC; the meetings favour Annagh United FC. Six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Annagh United FC at 1.28, 70% on the records (Annagh United FC unbeaten in 4 of 5 away; Warrenpoint Town FC failed to win 3 of 5 at home). Leave: Annagh United FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Annagh United FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Warrenpoint Town FC 0-1 Annagh United FC (5% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).