Loughgall FC vs Newry City AFC
Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Lakeview Park, Loughgall.
What's at stake. Loughgall FC are 13th on 10 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Moyola Park, 2 points clear of Strabane Athletic. A win would take them above Moyola Park. Newry City AFC are 6th on 15 points after 9 games, level on points with H&W Welders, 2 points clear of Warrenpoint Town. A win would take them above H&W Welders.
Form. Loughgall FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L D. Newry City AFC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D W.
The numbers. Loughgall FC score 1.3 and concede two a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Loughgall FC average 7.2 shots (3.8 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.9 cards a game. Newry City AFC score 1.7 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Newry City AFC average 9.7 shots (5.3 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Loughgall FC have won six, drawn two and lost one. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Loughgall FC won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 27 Apr 2024, it finished Loughgall FC 4-1 Newry City AFC.
Where it pulls both ways. Newry City AFC are the form side, but the meetings favour Loughgall FC: in the last nine meetings, Loughgall FC won six, Newry City AFC won one and two were drawn.
The read. A draw. An open game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%. Five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.19, 76% on the records (Loughgall FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10; Newry City AFC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9). Leave: Loughgall FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Newry City AFC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Loughgall FC 2-2 Newry City AFC (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).