Ballinamallard United vs Ards FC
Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Ballinamallard United are 8th on 13 points after 9 games, level on points with Warrenpoint Town, level on points with Institute. A win would take them above Warrenpoint Town. Ards FC are 11th on 11 points after 9 games, level on points with Dundela, level on points with Moyola Park. A win would take them above Dundela.
Form. Ballinamallard United have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W L. Ards FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L L.
The numbers. Ballinamallard United score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Ballinamallard United average 9.0 shots (6.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.7 cards a game. Ards FC score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Ards FC average 8.7 shots (3.5 on target), 7.5 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Ballinamallard United have won three, drawn three and lost four. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Ballinamallard United won one and Ards FC won three. The last time they met, on 28 Mar 2026, it finished Ballinamallard United 0-2 Ards FC.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Ards FC the likelier winners, but Ballinamallard United are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ards FC. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Ballinamallard United or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Ards FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Ballinamallard United 1-1 Ards FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).