Match details. Serie C, Group B, Girone B - 8. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Giuseppe Sivori, Sestri Levante. The referee is C. Esposito.
What's at stake. Vado FC are 17th on 5 points after 7 games, level on points with Latina, 1 point clear of Vis Pesaro. A win would take them above Latina. Forli FC are 8th on 10 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Torres, level on points with Perugia. A win would take them above Torres.
Form. Vado FC have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L. Forli FC have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W L.
The numbers. Vado FC score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Vado FC average 7.8 shots (2.6 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Forli FC score one and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Forli FC average 11.4 shots (4.1 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Vado FC 1-1 Forli FC (14% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAD 7 of 7 (100%) · FOR 7 of 8 (88%)94.6%
Vado FC: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Forli FC: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Vado FC: only games against sides at Forli FC's level · Forli FC: only games against sides at Vado FC's level
VADO FC GOALS
Vado FC Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.44
VAD 5 of 7 (71%) · FOR 5 of 8 (62%)64.9%
Vado FC scored under 1.5 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Forli FC conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Vado FC: only games against sides at Forli FC's level · Forli FC: only games against sides at Vado FC's level
FORLI FC GOALS
Forli FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.33
VAD 7 of 8 (88%) · FOR 4 of 7 (57%)69.5%
Forli FC scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Vado FC conceded in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Forli FC: only games against sides at Vado FC's level · Vado FC: only games against sides at Forli FC's level
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.42
VAD 5 of 7 (71%) · FOR 6 of 8 (75%)73.2%
Vado FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Forli FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · on half-time scores · Vado FC: only games against sides at Forli FC's level · Forli FC: only games against sides at Vado FC's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.6%
Vado FC goals →
Forli FC goals ↓
0-09%
1-09%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.5%
5-00.1%
0-111%
1-114%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.7%
5-10.2%
0-28%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.5%
5-20.1%
0-34%
1-34%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.2%
5-30.0%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.4%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
VADO FCLDWDLLLLLD0.60 PPG
FORLI FCDDDWLLWDDD1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
VADO FC HOMExFORLI FC AWAY
0.60SCORED A GAME1.601.80CONCEDED A GAME1.5030%CLEAN SHEETS0%57%FAILED TO SCORE14%4.22CORNERS A GAME4.201.67CARDS A GAME1.30
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
VADO FC 3:0 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.33POINTS A GAME1.43-0.83GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.29-4.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.30.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.26LEAGUE GAMES7
Forli FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
FORLI FC 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
77%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
36%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
82%
NO · 85/90
VADO FC OR DRAW
71%
NO · 80/85
FORLI FC OR DRAW
78%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
VADO FCxFORLI FC
5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME1.001.60CONCEDED A GAME1.202.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.240%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%40%BOTH SCORE80%4.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.69.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Vado FC have scored in 40% of their games.
Forli FC have scored in 90% of their games.
Vado FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Forli FC kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards