AS Cittadella vs US Albinoleffe
Match details. Serie C, Group A, Girone A - 8. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, Cittadella. The referee is M. Marotta.
What's at stake. AS Cittadella are 1st on 21 points after 7 games, 6 points clear of Union Brescia. US Albinoleffe are 9th on 9 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Dolomiti Bellunesi, 1 point clear of Lumezzane. A win would take them above Dolomiti Bellunesi.
Form. AS Cittadella have won eight, drawn two and lost none of their last ten, 2.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. US Albinoleffe have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D L.
The numbers. AS Cittadella score 2.5 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. AS Cittadella average 12.1 shots (5.0 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.0 cards a game. US Albinoleffe score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. US Albinoleffe average 11.4 shots (3.6 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last three meetings AS Cittadella have won one, drawn none and lost two. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 1 Feb 2026, it finished AS Cittadella 0-1 US Albinoleffe.
Where it pulls both ways. AS Cittadella are the form side, but the meetings favour US Albinoleffe: in the last three meetings, AS Cittadella won one and US Albinoleffe won two.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%. Two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.31, 74% on the records (AS Cittadella: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7; US Albinoleffe: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9). The safer one: US Albinoleffe Under 1.5 Goals at 1.19 (81%). Full cover: US Albinoleffe Under 1.5 Goals at 1.19. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: AS Cittadella or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); AS Cittadella or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); AS Cittadella or Both Teams Score (no result call). Predicted score: AS Cittadella 2-1 US Albinoleffe (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).