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JAPAN - J3 LEAGUE
Matsumoto Yamaga FC crestMYMAT
06:00Sat 3 Oct
GAIGainare Tottori crestGT

Matsumoto Yamaga FC vs Gainare Tottori

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. J3 League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 06:00 Lagos time. It is played at Sunpro Alwin, Matsumoto.

What's at stake. Matsumoto Yamaga FC are 15th on 8 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Tochigi SC, 1 point clear of Fukushima United. A win would take them above Tochigi SC. Gainare Tottori are 13th on 10 points after 8 games, level on points with Kanazawa, 1 point clear of Tochigi SC. A win would take them above Kanazawa.

Form. Matsumoto Yamaga FC have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L D. Gainare Tottori have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L.

The numbers. Matsumoto Yamaga FC score 1.5 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Matsumoto Yamaga FC average 11.5 shots (4.3 on target), 6.7 corners and 1.1 cards a game. Gainare Tottori score 1.9 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Gainare Tottori average 8.7 shots (4.0 on target), 2.5 corners and 1.1 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Matsumoto Yamaga FC have won four, drawn three and lost three. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Matsumoto Yamaga FC won two, one was drawn and Gainare Tottori won one. The last time they met, on 23 Aug 2025, it finished Matsumoto Yamaga FC 0-0 Gainare Tottori.

The case against. Matsumoto Yamaga FC's record still gives them 32% to win.

The read. Gainare Tottori to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Gainare Tottori the likelier winners; Gainare Tottori are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Gainare Tottori Over 0.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Gainare Tottori win or both teams score (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Matsumoto Yamaga FC 1-2 Gainare Tottori (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Gainare Tottori or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MAT 6 of 6 (100%) · GAI 5 of 8 (62%)76.7%
Gainare Tottori: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Matsumoto Yamaga FC: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 3 of 6 · Gainare Tottori: only games against sides at Matsumoto Yamaga FC's level · Matsumoto Yamaga FC: only games against sides at Gainare Tottori's level
Gainare Tottori or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.54
MAT 6 of 6 (100%) · GAI 4 of 8 (50%)72.7%
Gainare Tottori: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Matsumoto Yamaga FC: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 6 · Gainare Tottori: only games against sides at Matsumoto Yamaga FC's level · Matsumoto Yamaga FC: only games against sides at Gainare Tottori's level
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.25
MAT 5 of 8 (62%) · GAI 5 of 6 (83%)71.3%
Matsumoto Yamaga FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Gainare Tottori: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 3 of 6 · Matsumoto Yamaga FC: only games against sides at Gainare Tottori's level · Gainare Tottori: only games against sides at Matsumoto Yamaga FC's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.78
MAT 4 of 8 (50%) · GAI 5 of 6 (83%)67.2%
Matsumoto Yamaga FC: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Gainare Tottori: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 3 of 6 · Matsumoto Yamaga FC: only games against sides at Gainare Tottori's level · Gainare Tottori: only games against sides at Matsumoto Yamaga FC's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.81
MAT 5 of 8 (62%) · GAI 4 of 6 (67%)55.9%
Matsumoto Yamaga FC: both scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Gainare Tottori: both scored in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 2 of 6 · Matsumoto Yamaga FC: only games against sides at Gainare Tottori's level · Gainare Tottori: only games against sides at Matsumoto Yamaga FC's level
MATSUMOTO YAMAGA FC GOALS
Matsumoto Yamaga FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.13
MAT 5 of 8 (62%) · GAI 5 of 6 (83%)75%
Matsumoto Yamaga FC scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Gainare Tottori conceded in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 4 of 6 · Matsumoto Yamaga FC: only games against sides at Gainare Tottori's level · Gainare Tottori: only games against sides at Matsumoto Yamaga FC's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.21
MAT 5 of 8 (62%) · GAI 6 of 6 (100%)77.6%
Matsumoto Yamaga FC: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Gainare Tottori: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Matsumoto Yamaga FC: only games against sides at Gainare Tottori's level · Gainare Tottori: only games against sides at Matsumoto Yamaga FC's level
CORNERS
Over 9.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MAT 7 of 8 (88%) · GAI 4 of 6 (67%)77.1%
Matsumoto Yamaga FC's games: over 9.5 corners in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Gainare Tottori's games: over 9.5 corners in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · Matsumoto Yamaga FC: only games against sides at Gainare Tottori's level · Gainare Tottori: only games against sides at Matsumoto Yamaga FC's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Gainare Tottori Over 0.5 goals (the numbers (85%) and the records (63%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it); Gainare Tottori win or both teams score (the numbers (85%) and the records (63%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–2 8.9%
Matsumoto Yamaga FC goals →
Gainare Tottori goals ↓
0-04%
1-04%
2-04%
3-02%
4-00.8%
5-00.2%
0-15%
1-110%
2-17%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.5%
0-26%
1-29%
2-27%
3-24%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-34%
1-36%
2-34%
3-32%
4-30.9%
5-30.3%
0-42%
1-43%
2-42%
3-41%
4-40.4%
5-40.1%
0-50.7%
1-51%
2-50.8%
3-50.4%
4-50.2%
5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
MATSUMOTO YAMAGA FCDLDDDDLDWW1.20 PPG
GAINARE TOTTORIDWWWWLWLLW1.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MATSUMOTO YAMAGA FC HOMExGAINARE TOTTORI AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME1.901.30CONCEDED A GAME1.6040%CLEAN SHEETS20%38%FAILED TO SCORE25%6.70CORNERS A GAME2.501.10CARDS A GAME1.10
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
MATSUMOTO YAMAGA FC TO SCORE
–
136 OF 144
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner in a league averaging 2.9+ goals a game.
MATSUMOTO YAMAGA FC OR DRAW (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.00POINTS A GAME1.25-0.25GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.88+1.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-4.41.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.28LEAGUE GAMES8
Matsumoto Yamaga FC: the quality side - more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
76%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
63%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
76%
NO · 85/90
MATSUMOTO YAMAGA FC OR DRAW
49%
NO · 80/85
GAINARE TOTTORI OR DRAW
77%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
MATSUMOTO YAMAGA FCxGAINARE TOTTORI
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.601.00CONCEDED A GAME2.401.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE60%2.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES2.012.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
MATSUMOTO YAMAGA FC 4 · 40%DRAW 3GAINARE TOTTORI 3 · 30%
4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
5 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2013-06-01Matsumoto Yamaga FC 0 – 1 Gainare Tottori
2013-09-01Matsumoto Yamaga FC 2 – 1 Gainare Tottori
2022-06-05Matsumoto Yamaga FC 0 – 0 Gainare Tottori
2022-09-18Matsumoto Yamaga FC 2 – 1 Gainare Tottori
2023-04-02Matsumoto Yamaga FC 0 – 0 Gainare Tottori
2023-08-05Matsumoto Yamaga FC 1 – 2 Gainare Tottori
2024-06-08Matsumoto Yamaga FC 4 – 0 Gainare Tottori
2024-10-20Matsumoto Yamaga FC 3 – 4 Gainare Tottori
TRENDS
Matsumoto Yamaga FC have scored in 70% of their games.
Gainare Tottori have scored in 90% of their games.
Matsumoto Yamaga FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Gainare Tottori kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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