UKRUKR

19:45Fri 2 Oct

NIR

Ukraine vs Northern Ireland

CLASS A

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THE READ

Match details. UEFA Nations League clash on Fri 2 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.

Form. Ukraine have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W L. Northern Ireland have the same record, four wins, two draws, four losses in ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W L.

The numbers. Ukraine score 1.2 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. They average 8.3 shots (3.5 on target), 1.0 corners and 3.4 cards a game. Northern Ireland score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. They average 8.4 shots (3.6 on target), 2.0 corners and 2.9 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Ukraine or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Northern Ireland or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Ukraine 1-1 Northern Ireland (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.16

UKR 7 of 10 (70%) · NIR 3 of 6 (50%)82%

Ukraine: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Northern Ireland: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 70% · each game weighed by who it was against

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.62

UKR 5 of 10 (50%) · NIR 3 of 6 (50%)69.2%

Ukraine: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Northern Ireland: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 61% · each game weighed by who it was against

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsIN CODES

1.15

UKR 9 of 9 (100%) · NIR 5 of 6 (83%)85.6%

Ukraine's games: over 2.5 cards in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Northern Ireland's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 86% · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: Ukraine or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Northern Ireland or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.1%

Ukraine goals →

Northern Ireland goals ↓

0-08%

1-08%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.7%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11.0%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.9%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.4%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

UKRAINEDWLWLWWDLL1.40 PPG

NORTHERN IRELANDDWLWLLWLWD1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

UKRAINE HOMExNORTHERN IRELAND AWAY

1.20SCORED A GAME1.001.70CONCEDED A GAME1.0030%CLEAN SHEETS40%1.00CORNERS A GAME2.003.44CARDS A GAME2.90

TRENDS

Ukraine have scored in 60% of their games.

Northern Ireland have scored in 60% of their games.

Ukraine kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Northern Ireland kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards