Hungary vs Georgia

Match details. UEFA Nations League. Kick-off is Fri 2 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.

Form. Hungary have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W D. Georgia have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L.

The numbers. Hungary score 1.2 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Hungary average 10.8 shots (4.3 on target), 3.0 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Georgia score 1.6 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Georgia average 9.7 shots (3.8 on target), 6.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Hungary the likelier winners, but Hungary are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Georgia.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No best bet: the strongest pick did not fit the read of this game. Predicted score: Hungary 2-1 Georgia (9% chance).

The agreed story. Hungary or the draw, goals in between.

Their internationals. National teams: read from their own internationals. Hungary in their last internationals: drew 0-0 at Northern Ireland, lost 0-1 v Ukraine. Georgia in their last internationals: drew 0-0 v Ukraine, lost 0-1 v Northern Ireland. Too few internationals to judge the side from.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.