Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 2. Kick-off is Wed 30 Sep, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Mobolaji Johnson Arena, Lagos.
What's at stake. Sporting Lagos FC are 12th on 7 points after 5 games, level on points with Ranchers Bees, level on points with Warri Wolves. A win would take them above Ranchers Bees. Ikorodu City are 8th on 8 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Bendel Insurance, level on points with Abia Warriors. A win would take them above Bendel Insurance.
Form. Sporting Lagos FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W L. Ikorodu City have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D W.
The numbers. Sporting Lagos FC score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Sporting Lagos FC average 11.2 shots (4.8 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Ikorodu City score 1.7 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Ikorodu City average 8.8 shots (4.0 on target), 4.4 corners and 0.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Ikorodu City or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Ikorodu City or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Ikorodu City (Draw No Bet) (no result call). Predicted score: Sporting Lagos FC 1-1 Ikorodu City (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).