Virgin Islands, British vs Turks and Caicos Islands
Match details. It's a CONCACAF Nations League League C - 1 clash. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 20:00 Lagos time. The game is at TCIFA National Academy, Providenciales.
Form. Virgin Islands, British have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game, with a recent run L W D W W and four straight losses in this competition. Turks and Caicos Islands have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game, their last five being L L W L L and in this competition they have gone L L W L L L.
The numbers. Virgin Islands, British score 1.4 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal, averaging 1.0 corners and 4.0 cards a game. Turks and Caicos Islands score 0.2 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal, averaging 2.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Virgin Islands, British have won one, drawn two and lost one. Three of the four went over 2.5 goals and both sides scored in three. The last meeting on 16 Oct 2023 ended 2-2.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%; three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Turks and Caicos Islands's record still gives them 31% to win.
The read. Virgin Islands, British to win. Their goals for and against make Virgin Islands, British the likelier winners; Virgin Islands, British are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Virgin Islands, British.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Virgin Islands, British 1-0 Turks and Caicos Islands (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).