DC United vs Paderborn
Match details. It's an international friendly. Kick-off is Thu 1 Oct, 00:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Being a friendly, there are no points on the line.
Form. DC United have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first, are D L D W D. Paderborn have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first, are W L L D W.
The numbers. At home DC United score one and concede 1.3 a game in their last seven, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. They average 11.4 shots (4.5 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Away, Paderborn score 1.2 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. They average 12.2 shots (4.2 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, both sides have similar figures, pointing to a tight match. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The read. A draw. Little separates them, and both sides draw often.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: DC United 1-1 Paderborn (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).