FC Flenu vs Olympic Club De Charleroi
Match details. This is a Nationale 1 ACFF fixture, ACFF - 6. Kick-off is Wed 30 Sep, 19:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Flénu sit 12th on 1 point after 5 games, three points behind Charleroi. A win would bring them level on points. Charleroi are 11th on 4 points, level with Habay-la-Neuve and three points clear of Flénu. A win would lift them above Habay-la-Neuve.
Form. Flénu have no wins, one draw and four losses in their last five, 0.2 points a game. Their recent run reads L L D L L. Charleroi have one win, two draws and seven defeats in ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five are D L D L W.
The numbers. Flénu score one and concede 2.6 a game over the last five, with no clean sheets, and average 1.0 corners and no cards. Charleroi score 0.7 and concede 2.3 a game over ten, with one clean sheet and four goalless matches, averaging 8.2 shots (2.8 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.0 cards.
Where it pulls both ways. Their goals for and against make Flénu the likelier winners, but Charleroi are stronger on form and the table. Both records favour Charleroi.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 80%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Olympic Club De Charleroi or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC Flenu 2-1 Olympic Club De Charleroi (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).