Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Luqueno
Match details. Division de Honor, Clausura - 13. Kick-off is Mon 5 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Martin Torres, Asuncion. The referee is Alipio Colman.
What's at stake. Sportivo Trinidense are 6th on 20 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Club Guarani, 2 points clear of Sportivo Ameliano. A win would take them above Club Guarani. Sportivo Luqueno are 9th on 13 points after 12 games, 4 points behind Cerro Porteno, 4 points clear of Rubio NU.
Form. Sportivo Trinidense have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L W. Sportivo Luqueno have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L L.
The numbers. Sportivo Trinidense score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Sportivo Trinidense average 16.8 shots (4.8 on target), 4.3 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Sportivo Luqueno score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Sportivo Luqueno average 12.0 shots (4.0 on target), 4.1 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Sportivo Trinidense have won four, drawn two and lost four. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Sportivo Trinidense won one, one was drawn and Sportivo Luqueno won two. The last time they met, on 29 Jul 2026, it finished Sportivo Trinidense 4-1 Sportivo Luqueno: Sportivo Trinidense had 17 shots to 11, 52% of the ball, five yellow cards.
The case against. Sportivo Luqueno's record still gives them 42% to win.
The read. Sportivo Trinidense to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Sportivo Trinidense the likelier winners; Sportivo Trinidense are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Sportivo Trinidense (Draw No Bet) at 1.37, 76% on the records (Sportivo Trinidense won 3 of 7 (draws left out); Sportivo Luqueno lost 5 of 7 (draws left out)). The safer one: Sportivo Luqueno Under 1.5 Goals at 1.29 (78%). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.24. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Sportivo Trinidense or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 4.5 Goals (Sportivo Trinidense are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Sportivo Trinidense 1-0 Sportivo Luqueno (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).