Club Guarani Asuncion vs Sportivo San Lorenzo
Match details. Division de Honor, Clausura - 13. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Rogelio Livieres, Asunción. The referee is Juan Gabriel Benitez.
What's at stake. Club Guarani Asuncion are 5th on 20 points after 12 games, 2 points behind 2 de Mayo, level on points with Sportivo Trinidense. A win would take them above 2 de Mayo. Sportivo San Lorenzo are 12th on 2 points after 12 games, 6 points behind Deportivo Recoleta.
Form. Club Guarani Asuncion have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W D. In this competition Club Guarani Asuncion have gone W W D W D D. Sportivo San Lorenzo have won none, drawn one and lost nine of their last ten, 0.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L. In this competition Sportivo San Lorenzo have gone D L L L L L.
The numbers. Club Guarani Asuncion score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Club Guarani Asuncion average 12.6 shots (4.2 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Sportivo San Lorenzo score 0.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Sportivo San Lorenzo average 12.9 shots (2.4 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 41% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Club Guarani Asuncion have won six, drawn three and lost one. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Club Guarani Asuncion won three and Sportivo San Lorenzo won one. The last time they met, on 30 Jul 2026, it finished Club Guarani Asuncion 1-0 Sportivo San Lorenzo.
The read. Club Guarani Asuncion to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Club Guarani Asuncion the likelier winners; Club Guarani Asuncion are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Club Guarani Asuncion; the meetings favour Club Guarani Asuncion. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%.
The bets. Best bet: Club Guarani Asuncion or Draw at 1.12, 90% on the records (Club Guarani Asuncion unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Sportivo San Lorenzo failed to win 5 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Club Guarani Asuncion 1-0 Sportivo San Lorenzo (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).