PANPAN

07:10Thu 1 Oct

NZL

Panama vs New Zealand

CLASS A

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THE READ

Match details. An international friendly, Semi-finals. Kick-off is Thu 1 Oct, 07:10 Lagos time. It is played at Yokohama Stadium.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level. It is a friendly, so no points ride on it.

Form. Panama have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W. New Zealand have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W L.

The numbers. Panama score one and concede one a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Panama average 10.2 shots (3.8 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game. New Zealand score 3.7 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. New Zealand average 9.7 shots (5.0 on target), 3.3 corners and 1.3 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Panama 1-2 New Zealand (8% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Panama the favourite), goals in between.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.39

PAN 4 of 6 (67%) · NZL 10 of 10 (100%)65.3%

Panama: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · New Zealand: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Panama: only games against sides at New Zealand's level · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.30

PAN 4 of 6 (67%) · NZL 10 of 10 (100%)83.3%

Panama: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · New Zealand: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · on half-time scores · Panama: only games against sides at New Zealand's level · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.48

PAN 4 of 6 (67%) · NZL 9 of 10 (90%)82.3%

Panama: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · New Zealand: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · on half-time scores · Panama: only games against sides at New Zealand's level · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Panama or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); New Zealand or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 8.4%

Panama goals →

New Zealand goals ↓

0-05%

1-06%

2-05%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-16%

1-111%

2-18%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-25%

1-28%

2-27%

3-24%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-33%

1-34%

2-34%

3-32%

4-30.7%

5-30.2%

0-41%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.7%

4-40.3%

5-40.1%

0-50.4%

1-50.6%

2-50.5%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

PANAMALLLWWDWDDD1.30 PPG

NEW ZEALANDLLDWLWWWWW1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

PANAMA HOMExNEW ZEALAND AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME3.700.90CONCEDED A GAME1.4030%CLEAN SHEETS40%6.00CORNERS A GAME3.331.40CARDS A GAME1.33

TRENDS

Panama have scored in 60% of their games.

New Zealand have scored in 90% of their games.

Panama kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

New Zealand kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards