Match details. Primera Nacional, Regular Season - 32. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 21:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Nuevo Monumental, Rafaela.
What's at stake. Atletico de Rafaela are 10th on 42 points after 31 games, 1 point behind Colegiales, 2 points clear of San Martin Tucuman. A win would take them above Colegiales. CA Atlanta are 4th on 52 points after 31 games, 2 points behind Gimnasia Jujuy, 4 points clear of Gimnasia Y Tiro. A win would take them above Gimnasia Jujuy.
Form. Atletico de Rafaela have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W. In this competition Atletico de Rafaela have gone L W L L W D. CA Atlanta have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W L. In this competition CA Atlanta have gone W D W W L L.
The numbers. Atletico de Rafaela score 1.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Atletico de Rafaela average 4.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game. CA Atlanta score 0.8 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. CA Atlanta average 3.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Atletico de Rafaela have won two, drawn two and lost two. None of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. In the last four, Atletico de Rafaela won two and CA Atlanta won two. The last time they met, on 16 May 2026, it finished Atletico de Rafaela 0-2 CA Atlanta.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Atletico de Rafaela the likelier winners, but CA Atlanta are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Atletico de Rafaela.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 25%. Six of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.10, 83% on the records (Atletico de Rafaela: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; CA Atlanta: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 away). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Atletico de Rafaela or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); CA Atlanta or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Both Halves Under 1.5: Yes (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Atletico de Rafaela 1-0 CA Atlanta (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).