Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio FC
Match details. USL Championship, Group Stage. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 03:30 Lagos time. It is played at Cashman Field. The referee is A. Ndiaye.
What's at stake. Las Vegas Lights are 10th on 33 points after 26 games, level on points with Oakland Roots, level on points with Phoenix Rising. A win would take them above Oakland Roots. San Antonio FC are 8th on 38 points after 26 games, 1 point behind Colorado Springs, 5 points clear of Oakland Roots. A win would take them above Colorado Springs. Las Vegas Lights have nothing left to play for.
Form. Las Vegas Lights have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L L. In this competition Las Vegas Lights have gone L D W L L L. San Antonio FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D W. In this competition San Antonio FC have gone D D L D W L.
The numbers. Las Vegas Lights score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Las Vegas Lights average 4.1 corners and 2.0 cards a game. San Antonio FC score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. San Antonio FC average 4.1 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Las Vegas Lights have won two, drawn four and lost four. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Las Vegas Lights won one, two were drawn and San Antonio FC won one. The last time they met, on 19 Jul 2026, it finished Las Vegas Lights 2-1 San Antonio FC.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Las Vegas Lights or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); San Antonio FC or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Las Vegas Lights 1-1 San Antonio FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).