Match details. USL Championship, Group Stage. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 00:30 Lagos time. It is played at Al Lang Stadium. The referee is S. Berna Rico.
Form. Tampa Bay Rowdies have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W D. Miami FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D D.
The numbers. Tampa Bay Rowdies score 2.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Tampa Bay Rowdies average 5.7 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Miami FC score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Miami FC average 3.2 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 73% against the records' 47%.
The read. No firm call: Tampa Bay Rowdies are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Tampa Bay Rowdies the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Tampa Bay Rowdies. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18, 82% on the records (Tampa Bay Rowdies: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 9; Miami FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-1 Miami FC (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.18
TAM 6 of 9 (67%) · MIA 5 of 5 (100%)83.8%
Tampa Bay Rowdies: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Miami FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 78% · Tampa Bay Rowdies: only games against sides at Miami FC's level · Miami FC: only games against sides at Tampa Bay Rowdies's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.9%
Tampa Bay Rowdies goals →
Miami FC goals ↓
0-05%
1-08%
2-09%
3-07%
4-03%
5-01%
0-14%
1-110%
2-110%
3-17%
4-14%
5-12%
0-22%
1-25%
2-25%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.8%
0-30.8%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.7%
5-30.3%
0-40.2%
1-40.5%
2-40.5%
3-40.4%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
TAMPA BAY ROWDIESDWLWDLWDWW1.80 PPG
MIAMI FCWWWDDLLLLD1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
TAMPA BAY ROWDIES HOMExMIAMI FC AWAY
1.73SCORED A GAME1.330.88CONCEDED A GAME1.6320%BOTH SCORED70%70%CLEAN SHEETS10%5.73CORNERS A GAME3.222.35CARDS A GAME2.96
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.75POINTS A GAME1.23+0.58GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.15+1.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.21.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.212LEAGUE GAMES13
Tampa Bay Rowdies: the quality side - a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
89%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
54%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
71%
NO · 85/90
TAMPA BAY ROWDIES OR DRAW
74%
NO · 80/85
MIAMI FC OR DRAW
33%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
TAMPA BAY ROWDIESxMIAMI FC
5GAMES62.80SCORED A GAME1.001.60CONCEDED A GAME1.834.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%40%BOTH SCORE50%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Tampa Bay Rowdies have scored in 60% of their games.
Miami FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Tampa Bay Rowdies kept a clean sheet in 70% of their games.
Miami FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards