Piteaa IF vs IF Karlstad Fotbol
Match details. Ettan, Norra - 25. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at LF Arena.
What's at stake. Piteaa IF are 14th on 21 points after 24 games, 3 points behind Sollentuna, 3 points clear of Järfälla. A win would take them level on points with Sollentuna. IF Karlstad Fotbol are 6th on 40 points after 24 games, 2 points behind FBK Karlstad, 1 point clear of Enköping. A win would take them above FBK Karlstad. Piteaa IF have nothing left to play for, while IF Karlstad Fotbol need the win.
Form. Piteaa IF have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W. In this competition Piteaa IF have gone W W L L W L. IF Karlstad Fotbol have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D L L. In this competition IF Karlstad Fotbol have gone D D D L L D.
The numbers. Piteaa IF score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Piteaa IF average 3.6 corners and 1.4 cards a game. IF Karlstad Fotbol score two and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. IF Karlstad Fotbol average 4.9 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Piteaa IF have won two, drawn none and lost seven. Nine of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Piteaa IF won one and IF Karlstad Fotbol won three. The last time they met, on 6 Apr 2026, it finished Piteaa IF 1-2 IF Karlstad Fotbol.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 62% against the records' 39%.
The read. No firm call: IF Karlstad Fotbol are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. IF Karlstad Fotbol are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour IF Karlstad Fotbol. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 74%. Nine of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Piteaa IF 2-1 IF Karlstad Fotbol (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).