Match details. Ettan, Norra - 25. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Danderyd IP.
What's at stake. IFK Stocksund are 16th on 14 points after 24 games, 4 points behind Järfälla. FC Jarfalla are 15th on 18 points after 24 games, 3 points behind Piteå, 4 points clear of Stocksund. A win would take them level on points with Piteå. IFK Stocksund have nothing left to play for. FC Jarfalla have nothing left to play for.
Form. IFK Stocksund have won two, drawn none and lost eight of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. In this competition IFK Stocksund have gone L L L W L L. FC Jarfalla have won one, drawn none and lost nine of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. In this competition FC Jarfalla have gone L L W L L L.
The numbers. IFK Stocksund score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. IFK Stocksund average 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. FC Jarfalla score 1.1 and concede 2.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. FC Jarfalla average 3.9 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings IFK Stocksund have won five, drawn none and lost one. Six of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, IFK Stocksund won four. The last time they met, on 8 Jun 2026, it finished IFK Stocksund 6-1 FC Jarfalla.
The case against. FC Jarfalla's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. IFK Stocksund to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make IFK Stocksund the likelier winners; IFK Stocksund are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour IFK Stocksund; the meetings favour IFK Stocksund. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 85%. Six of the last six meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.09, 100% on the records (IFK Stocksund: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; FC Jarfalla: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: IFK Stocksund 2-1 FC Jarfalla (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).