Match details. Division 2, Norrland - Promotion Round. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. IFK Luleaa are 3rd on 25 points after 12 games, -2 points behind Gottne. A win would take them above Gottne. Skellefteaa FF are 1st on 27 points after 12 games.
Form. IFK Luleaa have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. In this competition IFK Luleaa have gone W W L W W W. Skellefteaa FF have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L D. In this competition Skellefteaa FF have gone L W L L D D.
The numbers. IFK Luleaa score 1.2 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. IFK Luleaa average 3.0 corners and 0.4 cards a game. Skellefteaa FF score 1.7 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Skellefteaa FF average 0.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings IFK Luleaa have won two, drawn three and lost five. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, IFK Luleaa won one, one was drawn and Skellefteaa FF won two. The last time they met, on 15 Aug 2026, it finished IFK Luleaa 1-3 Skellefteaa FF.
Where it pulls both ways. IFK Luleaa are the form side, but the meetings favour Skellefteaa FF: in the last ten meetings, IFK Luleaa won two, Skellefteaa FF won five and three were drawn.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: IFK Luleaa 2-1 Skellefteaa FF (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).