Match details. Cymru Premier, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time. It is played at Maesdu Park, Llandudno. The referee is D. Morgan.
What's at stake. Llandudno FC are 9th on 16 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Cambrian & Clydach, 1 point clear of Airbus UK. A win would take them above Cambrian & Clydach. Cardiff Metropolitan University FC are 7th on 18 points after 11 games, 4 points behind Barry Town, level on points with Cambrian & Clydach.
Form. Llandudno FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L W. In this competition Llandudno FC have gone L L D L W L. Cardiff Metropolitan University FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D D. In this competition Cardiff Metropolitan University FC have gone W D L D D W.
The numbers. Llandudno FC score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Llandudno FC average 1.0 corners and 0.8 cards a game. Cardiff Metropolitan University FC score 1.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Cardiff Metropolitan University FC average 3.5 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Llandudno FC have won one, drawn two and lost five. Three of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Llandudno FC won one and Cardiff Metropolitan University FC won three. The last time they met, on 13 Apr 2019, it finished Llandudno FC 1-2 Cardiff Metropolitan University FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%; five of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Llandudno FC's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Cardiff Metropolitan University FC to win. Both teams' records favour Cardiff Metropolitan University FC; the meetings favour Cardiff Metropolitan University FC.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Llandudno FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Cardiff Metropolitan University FC); Llandudno FC or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Cardiff Metropolitan University FC). Predicted score: Llandudno FC 1-2 Cardiff Metropolitan University FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).