Caernarfon Town FC vs Barry Town United FC
Match details. Cymru Premier, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time. It is played at The Oval, Caernarfon. The referee is B. Markham-Jones.
What's at stake. Caernarfon Town FC are 4th on 23 points after 11 games, 2 points behind GAP Connah S Quay FC, 1 point clear of Colwyn Bay. A win would take them above GAP Connah S Quay FC. Barry Town United FC are 6th on 22 points after 11 games, level on points with Colwyn Bay, 4 points clear of Cardiff MET. A win would take them above Colwyn Bay.
Form. Caernarfon Town FC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W W. In this competition Caernarfon Town FC have gone D W D W W L. Barry Town United FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W L. In this competition Barry Town United FC have gone L L D W L W.
The numbers. Caernarfon Town FC score 3.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Caernarfon Town FC average 2.6 corners and 1.1 cards a game. Barry Town United FC score 2.4 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Barry Town United FC average 3.7 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Caernarfon Town FC have won five, drawn two and lost three. Eight of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, Caernarfon Town FC won one, one was drawn and Barry Town United FC won two. The last time they met, on 21 Mar 2026, it finished Caernarfon Town FC 1-2 Barry Town United FC.
The case against. Barry Town United FC's record still gives them 43% to win.
The read. Caernarfon Town FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Caernarfon Town FC the likelier winners; Caernarfon Town FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Caernarfon Town FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 86%. Eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.15, 92% on the records (Caernarfon Town FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Barry Town United FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Caernarfon Town FC or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Caernarfon Town FC 2-1 Barry Town United FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).