Ammanford vs Holywell Town
Match details. Cymru Premier, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time. It is played at Ammanford Recreation Ground. The referee is R. Wright.
What's at stake. Ammanford are 15th on 3 points after 11 games, level on points with Trefelin, 1 point clear of Holywell. A win would take them above Trefelin. Holywell Town are 16th on 2 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Ammanford AFC. A win would take them above Ammanford AFC.
Form. Ammanford have won none, drawn three and lost seven of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L L. In this competition Ammanford have gone L L D L L L. Holywell Town have won none, drawn two and lost eight of their last ten, 0.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L D. In this competition Holywell Town have gone D L L L D L.
The numbers. Ammanford score 0.6 and concede 3.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Ammanford average 1.6 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Holywell Town score 1.1 and concede three a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Holywell Town average 0.8 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.19, 95% on the records (Ammanford: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Holywell Town: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: Holywell Town Over 0.5 Goals at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Ammanford or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Holywell Town or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Ammanford 1-2 Holywell Town (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).