Match details. Copa Bolivia. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 23:00 Lagos time.
Form. Real Potosi have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W. Academia del Balompie Boliviano have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L.
The numbers. Real Potosi score 1.1 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Real Potosi average 11.4 shots (4.1 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Academia del Balompie Boliviano score 1.3 and concede 2.2 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Academia del Balompie Boliviano average 12.6 shots (4.5 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 75% against the records' 50%.
The read. No firm call: Real Potosi are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Real Potosi the likelier winners; Real Potosi are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Real Potosi.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Real Potosi 1-1 Academia del Balompie Boliviano (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).