Match details. This is a Gulf Cup Group Stage - 3 match. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 18:30 Lagos time. It will be played at King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah.
Form. Saudi Arabia have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game, with a recent run of W W D L D and a W W record in this competition. Iraq have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game, their last five being W D L L L and a W D record in this competition.
The numbers. At home Saudi Arabia score 0.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five, keeping two clean sheets and being shut out twice. They average 5.7 shots (2.3 on target), 2.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game, holding 38% of the ball. Away Iraq score 0.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last six, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Iraq average 7.0 shots (0.7 on target), 2.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game, also at 38% possession.
Head to head. In the last five meetings Saudi Arabia have won three, drawn one and lost one. Two of those five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Saudi Arabia won two, one was drawn and Iraq won one. The last meeting on 14 Oct 2025 ended 0-0.
The read. Saudi Arabia to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Saudi Arabia the likelier winners, they are the stronger side on form and the table, and both teams' records favour Saudi Arabia. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%, and three of the last five meetings went under 2.5, pointing to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Saudi Arabia or Draw at 1.25, 82% on the records (Saudi Arabia unbeaten in 4 of 5; Iraq failed to win 4 of 6 away). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.27. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Saudi Arabia or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Saudi Arabia or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Saudi Arabia 1-0 Iraq (15% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).