Tunisia vs Botswana
Match details. Africa Cup of Nations Qualification, Group Stage - 2. Kick-off Mon 28 Sep, 20:00 Lagos time.
Form. Tunisia have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L D, and in this competition they have gone D. Botswana have won none, drawn four and lost six of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L D, and in this competition they have gone D.
The numbers. At home Tunisia score one and concede two a game in their last five, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. They average 8.4 shots (2.9 on target), 4.4 corners and 0.6 cards a game, holding 47% of the ball. Away Botswana score 0.7 and concede 1.9 a game in their last seven, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. They average 5.7 shots (1.7 on target), 1.7 corners and 1.3 cards a game, with 41% of the ball.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.27, 82% on the records (Tunisia: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Botswana: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 away). Leave: Tunisia or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Tunisia or Both Teams Score (no result call); Tunisia or Draw & Over 1.5 (no result call). Predicted score: Tunisia 2-1 Botswana (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).