EC Juventude RS vs Operario Ferroviario EC PR
Match details. Brasileiro Serie B, Regular Season - 31. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 00:45 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias Sul. The referee is Julio Cesar Pfleger.
What's at stake. EC Juventude RS are 2nd on 53 points after 30 games, 1 point behind Vila Nova, 1 point clear of Fortaleza EC. A win would take them above Vila Nova. Operario Ferroviario EC PR are 8th on 48 points after 30 games, level on points with CRB, 1 point clear of Sport Recife. A win would take them above CRB.
Form. EC Juventude RS have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W D. In this competition EC Juventude RS have gone W L L W D D. Operario Ferroviario EC PR have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W W. In this competition Operario Ferroviario EC PR have gone D W D W W D.
The numbers. EC Juventude RS score one and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and three games without a goal. EC Juventude RS average 12.8 shots (4.0 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. Operario Ferroviario EC PR score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Operario Ferroviario EC PR average 12.2 shots (3.5 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last three meetings EC Juventude RS have won one, drawn none and lost two. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 5 Jun 2026, it finished EC Juventude RS 1-2 Operario Ferroviario EC PR: EC Juventude RS had 10 shots to 13, 49% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. EC Juventude RS are the form side, but the meetings favour Operario Ferroviario EC PR: in the last three meetings, EC Juventude RS won one and Operario Ferroviario EC PR won two. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%; two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: EC Juventude RS or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); EC Juventude RS or Both Teams Score (no result call); EC Juventude RS 1UP (no result call). Predicted score: EC Juventude RS 1-1 Operario Ferroviario EC PR (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).