Zweigen Kanazawa vs Shimizu S-Pulse

Match details. J.League Cup, Round of 64. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Kanazawa Go Go Curry Stadium.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Zweigen Kanazawa have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W W. In this competition Zweigen Kanazawa have gone W. Shimizu S-Pulse have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D L.

The numbers. Zweigen Kanazawa score two and concede two a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets. Zweigen Kanazawa average 10.3 shots (4.3 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Shimizu S-Pulse score 0.7 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Shimizu S-Pulse average 8.6 shots (2.6 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.7 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 27% against the records' 48%.

The read. No firm call: Zweigen Kanazawa are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Zweigen Kanazawa are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Zweigen Kanazawa. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Zweigen Kanazawa 2-1 Shimizu S-Pulse (9% chance).