KTKAT

11:00Tue 29 Sep

URA

Kataller Toyama vs Urawa Red Diamonds

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. J.League Cup, Round of 64. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Toyama Athletic Stadium.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Kataller Toyama have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W W. In this competition Kataller Toyama have gone W. Urawa Red Diamonds have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W.

The numbers. Kataller Toyama score 1.8 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. Kataller Toyama average 14.8 shots (5.5 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Urawa Red Diamonds score 1.9 and concede two a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Urawa Red Diamonds average 12.1 shots (4.1 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.7 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 12% against the records' 50%.

The read. No firm call: Kataller Toyama are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Kataller Toyama the likelier winners; Kataller Toyama are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Kataller Toyama. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Urawa Red Diamonds or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Kataller Toyama); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Kataller Toyama 2-1 Urawa Red Diamonds (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Kataller Toyama or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KAT 9 of 10 (90%) · URA 9 of 10 (90%)91.2%

Kataller Toyama: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Urawa Red Diamonds: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%

Kataller Toyama or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.40

KAT 8 of 10 (80%) · URA 9 of 10 (90%)86.9%

Kataller Toyama: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Urawa Red Diamonds: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%

Double Chance: Kataller Toyama or Urawa Red DiamondsIN CODES

1.14

KAT 8 of 10 (80%) · URA 10 of 10 (100%)78.8%

Kataller Toyama: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Urawa Red Diamonds: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.20

KAT 8 of 10 (80%) · URA 9 of 10 (90%)86.9%

Kataller Toyama: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Urawa Red Diamonds: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%

Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.63

KAT 6 of 10 (60%) · URA 8 of 10 (80%)73.8%

Kataller Toyama: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Urawa Red Diamonds: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%

KATALLER TOYAMA GOALS

Kataller Toyama Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.69

KAT 7 of 10 (70%) · URA 8 of 10 (80%)78.1%

Kataller Toyama scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Urawa Red Diamonds conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.30

KAT 8 of 10 (80%) · URA 10 of 10 (100%)90%

Kataller Toyama: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Urawa Red Diamonds: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.16

KAT 8 of 10 (80%) · URA 9 of 10 (90%)85%

Kataller Toyama: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Urawa Red Diamonds: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Urawa Red Diamonds or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Kataller Toyama); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Urawa Red Diamonds or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Kataller Toyama)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 8.7%

Kataller Toyama goals →

Urawa Red Diamonds goals ↓

0-03%

1-05%

2-05%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.7%

0-14%

1-19%

2-19%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11%

0-23%

1-27%

2-27%

3-25%

4-22%

5-21.0%

0-32%

1-34%

2-34%

3-33%

4-31%

5-30.5%

0-40.7%

1-42%

2-42%

3-41%

4-40.5%

5-40.2%

0-50.2%

1-50.5%

2-50.5%

3-50.3%

4-50.2%

5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

KATALLER TOYAMALWWLLWWDWD1.70 PPG

URAWA RED DIAMONDSLLLLWWWWLW1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

KATALLER TOYAMA HOMExURAWA RED DIAMONDS AWAY

1.80SCORED A GAME1.901.30CONCEDED A GAME2.0050%CLEAN SHEETS20%3.00CORNERS A GAME4.401.70CARDS A GAME1.70

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.75POINTS A GAME1.50+1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.25+5.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.41.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.48LEAGUE GAMES8

Kataller Toyama: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

84%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

75%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

54%

NO · 85/90

KATALLER TOYAMA OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

URAWA RED DIAMONDS OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

KATALLER TOYAMAxURAWA RED DIAMONDS

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME2.201.20CONCEDED A GAME1.402.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.4–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.8

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Kataller Toyama have scored in 70% of their games.

Urawa Red Diamonds have scored in 90% of their games.

Kataller Toyama kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

Kataller Toyama failed to score in 5% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards