Gainare Tottori vs V-Varen Nagasaki
Match details. J.League Cup, Round of 64. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Tottori Bank Bird Stadium.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Gainare Tottori have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W. In this competition Gainare Tottori have gone W. V-Varen Nagasaki have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L D. In this competition V-Varen Nagasaki have gone W.
The numbers. Gainare Tottori score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Gainare Tottori average 8.1 shots (4.0 on target) and 0.9 cards a game. V-Varen Nagasaki score 1.4 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. V-Varen Nagasaki average 8.5 shots (3.8 on target), 7.0 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Gainare Tottori or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); V-Varen Nagasaki or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Gainare Tottori 2-1 V-Varen Nagasaki (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).