FUFUK

11:00Tue 29 Sep

MIT

Fukushima United FC vs Mito Hollyhock

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. J.League Cup, Round of 64. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Toho Stadium, Fukushima.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Fukushima United FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W. In this competition Fukushima United FC have gone W. Mito Hollyhock have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W D.

The numbers. Fukushima United FC score 3.6 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Mito Hollyhock score 1.1 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 19% against the records' 52%.

The read. No firm call: Fukushima United FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Fukushima United FC the likelier winners; Fukushima United FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Fukushima United FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Fukushima United FC 2-1 Mito Hollyhock (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Fukushima United FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FUK 5 of 5 (100%) · MIT 10 of 10 (100%)98.5%

Fukushima United FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Mito Hollyhock: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95%

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.20

FUK 5 of 5 (100%) · MIT 8 of 10 (80%)89.8%

Fukushima United FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Mito Hollyhock: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesPAGE ONLY

1.74

FUK 4 of 5 (80%) · MIT 6 of 10 (60%)73.8%

Fukushima United FC: both scored in 4 of 5 at home · Mito Hollyhock: both scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%

MITO HOLLYHOCK GOALS

Mito Hollyhock Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.12

FUK 6 of 10 (60%) · MIT 4 of 5 (80%)75.2%

Mito Hollyhock scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Fukushima United FC conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75%

Mito Hollyhock Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

2.80

FUK 8 of 10 (80%) · MIT 1 of 5 (20%)45.2%

Mito Hollyhock scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Fukushima United FC conceded under 1.5 in 1 of 5 at home · both last 10: 55%

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.19

FUK 5 of 5 (100%) · MIT 8 of 10 (80%)88.3%

Fukushima United FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Mito Hollyhock: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.27

FUK 4 of 5 (80%) · MIT 8 of 10 (80%)80%

Fukushima United FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Mito Hollyhock: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.1%

Fukushima United FC goals →

Mito Hollyhock goals ↓

0-03%

1-05%

2-06%

3-05%

4-03%

5-01%

0-13%

1-19%

2-19%

3-17%

4-14%

5-12%

0-23%

1-26%

2-27%

3-25%

4-23%

5-21%

0-31%

1-33%

2-33%

3-32%

4-31%

5-30.6%

0-40.4%

1-41.0%

2-41%

3-40.8%

4-40.5%

5-40.2%

0-50.1%

1-50.3%

2-50.3%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

FUKUSHIMA UNITED FCLWLLDWWLLW1.30 PPG

MITO HOLLYHOCKLLDWLDWDLL0.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FUKUSHIMA UNITED FC HOMExMITO HOLLYHOCK AWAY

2.60SCORED A GAME1.102.20CONCEDED A GAME1.4010%CLEAN SHEETS0%20%FAILED TO SCORE30%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.88POINTS A GAME1.12-0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00+2.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-4.01.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.08LEAGUE GAMES8

Fukushima United FC: the quality side - more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

80%

VERY GOOD · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

76%

NO · 85/90

FUKUSHIMA UNITED FC OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

MITO HOLLYHOCK OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FUKUSHIMA UNITED FCxMITO HOLLYHOCK

5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME1.202.40CONCEDED A GAME1.404.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%100%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Fukushima United FC failed to score in 20% of their games.

Mito Hollyhock failed to score in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & against