FMFUJ

11:00Tue 29 Sep

CER

Fujieda MYFC vs Cerezo Osaka

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. J.League Cup, Round of 64. Kick-off is Tue 29 Sep, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Fujieda Soccer Stadium, Fujieda City.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Fujieda MYFC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L D. In this competition Fujieda MYFC have gone W. Cerezo Osaka have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W L.

The numbers. Fujieda MYFC score 1.4 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Fujieda MYFC average 7.0 shots (2.8 on target), 6.0 corners and 0.9 cards a game. Cerezo Osaka score one and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Cerezo Osaka average 10.9 shots (4.1 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.3 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 20% against the records' 45%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.

The read. No firm call: Fujieda MYFC are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Fujieda MYFC the likelier winners; Fujieda MYFC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Fujieda MYFC.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Fujieda MYFC 1-1 Cerezo Osaka (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.16

FUJ 8 of 10 (80%) · CER 4 of 5 (80%)77.7%

Fujieda MYFC: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cerezo Osaka: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%

FUJIEDA MYFC GOALS

Fujieda MYFC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.52

FUJ 7 of 10 (70%) · CER 5 of 5 (100%)82.5%

Fujieda MYFC scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cerezo Osaka conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70%

CEREZO OSAKA GOALS

Cerezo Osaka Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.14

FUJ 3 of 5 (60%) · CER 7 of 10 (70%)70.9%

Cerezo Osaka scored in 3 of 5 away · Fujieda MYFC conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.33

FUJ 6 of 10 (60%) · CER 4 of 5 (80%)68.3%

Fujieda MYFC: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cerezo Osaka: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · on half-time scores

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 11.6%

Fujieda MYFC goals →

Cerezo Osaka goals ↓

0-07%

1-010%

2-09%

3-06%

4-03%

5-00.9%

0-15%

1-112%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-10.9%

0-23%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.5%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.3%

1-40.5%

2-40.5%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

FUJIEDA MYFCWWLWWDLDLD1.50 PPG

CEREZO OSAKAWWLWWLWDLD1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FUJIEDA MYFC HOMExCEREZO OSAKA AWAY

1.40SCORED A GAME1.301.00CONCEDED A GAME1.4020%CLEAN SHEETS30%20%FAILED TO SCORE15%6.00CORNERS A GAME5.000.89CARDS A GAME1.30

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.50POINTS A GAME1.38+0.38GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.62-2.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.21.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.08LEAGUE GAMES8

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

66%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

33%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

82%

NO · 85/90

FUJIEDA MYFC OR DRAW

93%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

CEREZO OSAKA OR DRAW

38%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FUJIEDA MYFCxCEREZO OSAKA

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME0.801.40CONCEDED A GAME1.602.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%80%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Fujieda MYFC have scored in 70% of their games.

Cerezo Osaka have scored in 70% of their games.

Fujieda MYFC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Cerezo Osaka kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards