OFC Nesebar vs PFC CSKA SOFIA II
Match details. Vtora Liga, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Gradski stadion, Nesebar.
What's at stake. OFC Nesebar are 9th on 17 points after 11 games, level on points with Etar Veliko Tarnovo, 1 point clear of Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa. A win would take them above Etar Veliko Tarnovo. PFC CSKA SOFIA II are 2nd on 23 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Vihren, 1 point clear of Fratria. A win would take them above Vihren.
Form. OFC Nesebar have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W L. In this competition OFC Nesebar have gone L W D W L D. PFC CSKA SOFIA II have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. In this competition PFC CSKA SOFIA II have gone W W W L W L.
The numbers. OFC Nesebar score 3.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. OFC Nesebar average 4.1 corners and 2.0 cards a game. PFC CSKA SOFIA II score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. PFC CSKA SOFIA II average 4.6 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings OFC Nesebar have won none, drawn one and lost three. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 16 Mar 2025, it finished OFC Nesebar 0-2 PFC CSKA SOFIA II.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make OFC Nesebar the likelier winners, but PFC CSKA SOFIA II are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour PFC CSKA SOFIA II. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%; three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: PFC CSKA SOFIA II or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); PFC CSKA SOFIA II or Draw (1UP) (no result call); OFC Nesebar Under 1.5 goals (OFC Nesebar's own games don't back it (1 of 5)). Predicted score: OFC Nesebar 1-1 PFC CSKA SOFIA II (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).