Match details. Cordoba CF host Tenerife CD at Estadio Nuevo Arcángel in LaLiga 2, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is set for Mon 5 Oct at 19:30 Lagos time, with referee Ojaos Valera in charge.
What's at stake. Cordoba CF are 20th on 6 points after 7 games, one point behind FC Andorra and one point clear of AD Ceuta FC. A win would take them above FC Andorra. Tenerife CD are 12th on 11 points after 7 games, level on points with Las Palmas and Leganes, and a win would take them above Las Palmas.
Form. Cordoba CF have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, taking 0.7 points a game. Their last five ended L, W, L, L, L. Tenerife CD have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, averaging 1.4 points a game. Their last five matches ended D, L, W, D, L.
The numbers. Cordoba CF score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, keeping no clean sheets. They average 14.1 shots, 4.4 on target, 7.0 corners and 3.2 cards, with 57% of the ball. Tenerife CD score 1.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets, averaging 9.0 shots, 3.5 on target, 3.4 corners and 1.6 cards with 42% possession.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings, Cordoba CF have won five, drawn one and lost two. Three of those eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. Across the last four, Cordoba CF won three and one was drawn. Their last clash on 15 Feb 2025 ended 3-2 to Cordoba CF, who had 18 shots to 12, 53% of the ball and six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways here. Tenerife CD are the stronger side on form and the table, but the head-to-head meetings favour Cordoba CF.
The case against. Cordoba CF's record still gives them a 35% chance to win, but the meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals, as their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%, while five of the last eight meetings actually went under 2.5 goals.
The read. Tenerife CD or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Tenerife CD are the stronger side on form and the table, but the meetings favour Cordoba CF.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Cordoba CF 1-2 Tenerife CD (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).