SC Bastia vs US Orleans
Match details. Ligue 3, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Thu 1 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Stade Armand Cesari, Bastia.
What's at stake. SC Bastia are 12th on 10 points after 8 games, level on points with Quevilly, 1 point clear of Fleury 91. A win would take them above Quevilly. US Orleans are 15th on 8 points after 8 games, level on points with Valenciennes, 1 point clear of Aubagne. A win would take them above Valenciennes.
Form. SC Bastia have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L W. US Orleans have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D L.
The numbers. SC Bastia score 0.6 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. SC Bastia average 3.7 shots (1.8 on target), 2.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game. US Orleans score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. US Orleans average 6.2 shots (2.8 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings SC Bastia have won none, drawn one and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 29 Mar 2021, it finished SC Bastia 1-2 US Orleans.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make US Orleans the likelier winners, but SC Bastia are the stronger side on form and the table. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 24%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 24%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.23, 84% on the records (SC Bastia: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8; US Orleans: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: SC Bastia or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); US Orleans or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: SC Bastia 1-1 US Orleans (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).