EFEHI

11:00Tue 29 Sep

FCT

Ehime FC vs FC Tokyo

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. This is a J.League Cup Round of 64 tie on Tue 29 Sep, 11:00 Lagos time. It takes place at Ningineer Stadium in Matsuyama.

What's at stake. It is a single-leg game, with penalties if it ends level.

Form. Ehime FC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game, with a recent run D W L W W. In this competition they have gone W. FC Tokyo share the same six-win, two-draw, two-loss record and 2.0 points a game, their last five are W W W D W.

The numbers. Ehime FC score 2.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets, and average 11.3 shots (4.2 on target) and 0.9 cards a game. FC Tokyo score 2.1 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets, and average 13.5 shots (4.4 on target), 4.9 corners and 1.6 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side, and their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Ehime FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); FC Tokyo or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Ehime FC 2-1 FC Tokyo (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.16

EHI 4 of 5 (80%) · FCT 9 of 10 (90%)86.9%

Ehime FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · FC Tokyo: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.52

EHI 4 of 5 (80%) · FCT 5 of 10 (50%)67.9%

Ehime FC: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · FC Tokyo: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60%

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.17

EHI 4 of 5 (80%) · FCT 10 of 10 (100%)91.7%

Ehime FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · FC Tokyo: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 1.5PAGE ONLY

1.79

EHI 4 of 5 (80%) · FCT 6 of 10 (60%)70%

Ehime FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · FC Tokyo: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Ehime FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); FC Tokyo or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Double Chance: Ehime FC or FC Tokyo (no result call); FC Tokyo or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Ehime FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 8.8%

Ehime FC goals →

FC Tokyo goals ↓

0-05%

1-07%

2-06%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-16%

1-111%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-25%

1-28%

2-27%

3-24%

4-21%

5-20.5%

0-32%

1-34%

2-33%

3-32%

4-30.7%

5-30.2%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-41%

3-40.7%

4-40.3%

5-40.1%

0-50.3%

1-50.4%

2-50.4%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

EHIME FCWWDLWWWLWD2.00 PPG

FC TOKYOLLDWWWDWWW2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

EHIME FC HOMExFC TOKYO AWAY

2.00SCORED A GAME2.101.20CONCEDED A GAME1.1030%CLEAN SHEETS60%40%FAILED TO SCORE25%0.00CORNERS A GAME4.880.89CARDS A GAME1.62

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

DRAW OR FC TOKYO (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

2.12POINTS A GAME2.17+1.25GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.67+0.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.82.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.68LEAGUE GAMES6

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

87%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

55%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

79%

NO · 85/90

EHIME FC OR DRAW

80%

OKAY · 80/85

FC TOKYO OR DRAW

42%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

EHIME FCxFC TOKYO

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.801.20CONCEDED A GAME0.203.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%80%BOTH SCORE20%2.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–9.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Ehime FC have scored in 100% of their games.

FC Tokyo have scored in 100% of their games.

Ehime FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

FC Tokyo kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards