Match details. Liga MX, Apertura - 11. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla. The referee is Jorge Abraham Camacho Peregrina.
What's at stake. Club Puebla are 9th on 14 points after 10 games, level on points with Club Tijuana, 1 point clear of Monterrey. A win would take them above Club Tijuana. Club Leon are 5th on 17 points after 10 games, level on points with Club Queretaro, level on points with Atlas. A win would take them above Club Queretaro.
Form. Club Puebla have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W L. In this competition Club Puebla have gone L D L W L W. Club Leon have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L D. In this competition Club Leon have gone W D W L D W.
The numbers. Club Puebla score 1.1 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Club Puebla average 13.2 shots (4.0 on target), 4.4 corners and 0.9 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. Club Leon score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Club Leon average 13.9 shots (5.6 on target), 2.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Club Puebla have won three, drawn two and lost five. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Club Puebla won one, one was drawn and Club Leon won two. The last time they met, on 11 Apr 2026, it finished Club Puebla 0-1 Club Leon: Club Puebla had 16 shots to 14, 46% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The case against. Club Puebla's record still gives them 37% to win.
The read. Club Leon to win. A tight game. Club Leon are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Club Leon. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Club Leon or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Club Leon or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Club Puebla 0-1 Club Leon (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).