Match details. Vtora Liga, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov, Svoge.
What's at stake. PFK Sportist Svoge are 16th on 10 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Montana, 1 point clear of Dobrudzha. A win would take them above Montana. FK Hebar Pazardzhik are 11th on 14 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa, level on points with Marek. A win would take them above Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa.
Form. PFK Sportist Svoge have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L. In this competition PFK Sportist Svoge have gone L W L D L D. FK Hebar Pazardzhik have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L D. In this competition FK Hebar Pazardzhik have gone L W W L D D.
The numbers. PFK Sportist Svoge score 0.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. PFK Sportist Svoge average 4.1 corners and 1.7 cards a game. FK Hebar Pazardzhik score 2.8 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. FK Hebar Pazardzhik average 6.2 corners and 3.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings PFK Sportist Svoge have won four, drawn two and lost three. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, PFK Sportist Svoge won three and FK Hebar Pazardzhik won one. The last time they met, on 23 May 2026, it finished PFK Sportist Svoge 1-0 FK Hebar Pazardzhik.
Where it pulls both ways. FK Hebar Pazardzhik are the form side, but the meetings favour PFK Sportist Svoge: in the last nine meetings, PFK Sportist Svoge won four, FK Hebar Pazardzhik won three and two were drawn.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%. Five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FK Hebar Pazardzhik or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); FK Hebar Pazardzhik or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); FK Hebar Pazardzhik or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: PFK Sportist Svoge 1-1 FK Hebar Pazardzhik (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).