EDGE PICKIFK Karlshamn Over 0.5 goals · 54.8% · @1.48
Book 68% · Us 55%-13price too short
Backed by
IFK Karlshamn scored in 3 of 5 away · Vaxjo Norra conceded in 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · H2H 1 of 3 · IFK Karlshamn: only games against sides at Vaxjo Norra's level · Vaxjo Norra: only games against sides at IFK Karlshamn's level
· main loses on: 0-1, 0-2, 1-2, 0-3, 1-3, 0-4, 2-3, 1-4, 0-5, 2-4, 1-5, 0-6 and 43 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of them
THE READ
Match details. Division 2, Södra Götaland - 24. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Vaxjo Norra are 7th on 35 points after 23 games, 2 points behind Berga, 5 points clear of Österlen. A win would take them above Berga. IFK Karlshamn are 14th on 11 points after 23 games, 7 points behind Räppe. Vaxjo Norra have nothing left to play for. IFK Karlshamn have nothing left to play for.
Form. Vaxjo Norra have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W W. In this competition Vaxjo Norra have gone D D D W W L. IFK Karlshamn have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. In this competition IFK Karlshamn have gone L L L L W L.
The numbers. Vaxjo Norra score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Vaxjo Norra average 4.4 corners and 1.1 cards a game. IFK Karlshamn score 0.6 and concede four a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. IFK Karlshamn average 3.3 corners and 0.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Vaxjo Norra have won two, drawn one and lost none. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 22 May 2026, it finished Vaxjo Norra 2-1 IFK Karlshamn.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%; two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Vaxjo Norra to win. Their goals for and against make Vaxjo Norra the likelier winners; Vaxjo Norra are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Vaxjo Norra; the meetings favour Vaxjo Norra.
The bets. Best bet: Vaxjo Norra or Draw at 1.09, 87% on the records (Vaxjo Norra unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; IFK Karlshamn failed to win 5 of 5 away). Predicted score: Vaxjo Norra 2-0 IFK Karlshamn (11% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Vaxjo Norra or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAX 4 of 5 (80%) · IFK 5 of 5 (100%)88.1%
Vaxjo Norra: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · IFK Karlshamn: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 2 of 3 · Vaxjo Norra: only games against sides at IFK Karlshamn's level · IFK Karlshamn: only games against sides at Vaxjo Norra's level
Double Chance: Vaxjo Norra or DrawMAININ CODES
1.09
VAX 4 of 5 (80%) · IFK 5 of 5 (100%)87.1%
Vaxjo Norra unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · IFK Karlshamn failed to win 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 3 · Vaxjo Norra: only games against sides at IFK Karlshamn's level · IFK Karlshamn: only games against sides at Vaxjo Norra's level
Vaxjo Norra or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAX 4 of 5 (80%) · IFK 5 of 5 (100%)85.2%
Vaxjo Norra: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · IFK Karlshamn: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 2 of 3 · Vaxjo Norra: only games against sides at IFK Karlshamn's level · IFK Karlshamn: only games against sides at Vaxjo Norra's level
Vaxjo Norra or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAX 3 of 5 (60%) · IFK 5 of 5 (100%)79.5%
Vaxjo Norra: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · IFK Karlshamn: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 2 of 3 · Vaxjo Norra: only games against sides at IFK Karlshamn's level · IFK Karlshamn: only games against sides at Vaxjo Norra's level
Vaxjo Norra or Draw & Over 1.5PAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAX 3 of 5 (60%) · IFK 5 of 5 (100%)75.2%
Vaxjo Norra: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · IFK Karlshamn: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 2 of 3 · Vaxjo Norra: only games against sides at IFK Karlshamn's level · IFK Karlshamn: only games against sides at Vaxjo Norra's level
Vaxjo Norra (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.21
VAX 3 of 7 (43%) · IFK 5 of 5 (100%)69%
Vaxjo Norra won 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · IFK Karlshamn lost 5 of 5 away (draws left out) · both last 10: 66% · Vaxjo Norra: only games against sides at IFK Karlshamn's level · IFK Karlshamn: only games against sides at Vaxjo Norra's level · won 7, refunded 2, lost 1
Vaxjo Norra Win & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAX 2 of 5 (40%) · IFK 5 of 5 (100%)65.2%
Vaxjo Norra: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · IFK Karlshamn: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · H2H 2 of 3 · Vaxjo Norra: only games against sides at IFK Karlshamn's level · IFK Karlshamn: only games against sides at Vaxjo Norra's level
Vaxjo Norra to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.52
VAX 2 of 5 (40%) · IFK 5 of 5 (100%)65.2%
Vaxjo Norra won 2 of 5 at home · IFK Karlshamn lost 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · H2H 2 of 3 · Vaxjo Norra: only games against sides at IFK Karlshamn's level · IFK Karlshamn: only games against sides at Vaxjo Norra's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAX 5 of 5 (100%) · IFK 4 of 5 (80%)91.4%
Vaxjo Norra: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · IFK Karlshamn: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 3 of 3 · Vaxjo Norra: only games against sides at IFK Karlshamn's level · IFK Karlshamn: only games against sides at Vaxjo Norra's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAX 4 of 5 (80%) · IFK 5 of 5 (100%)88.1%
Vaxjo Norra: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · IFK Karlshamn: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 2 of 3 · Vaxjo Norra: only games against sides at IFK Karlshamn's level · IFK Karlshamn: only games against sides at Vaxjo Norra's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAX 4 of 5 (80%) · IFK 5 of 5 (100%)88.1%
Vaxjo Norra: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · IFK Karlshamn: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 2 of 3 · Vaxjo Norra: only games against sides at IFK Karlshamn's level · IFK Karlshamn: only games against sides at Vaxjo Norra's level
Under 4.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.26
VAX 5 of 5 (100%) · IFK 2 of 5 (40%)69%
Vaxjo Norra: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · IFK Karlshamn: under 4.5 goals in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 3 of 3 · Vaxjo Norra: only games against sides at IFK Karlshamn's level · IFK Karlshamn: only games against sides at Vaxjo Norra's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.44
VAX 2 of 5 (40%) · IFK 5 of 5 (100%)67.6%
Vaxjo Norra: over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · IFK Karlshamn: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 1 of 3 · Vaxjo Norra: only games against sides at IFK Karlshamn's level · IFK Karlshamn: only games against sides at Vaxjo Norra's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.54
VAX 2 of 5 (40%) · IFK 3 of 5 (60%)51.9%
Vaxjo Norra: both scored in 2 of 5 at home · IFK Karlshamn: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · H2H 1 of 3 · Vaxjo Norra: only games against sides at IFK Karlshamn's level · IFK Karlshamn: only games against sides at Vaxjo Norra's level
VAXJO NORRA GOALS
Vaxjo Norra Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAX 4 of 5 (80%) · IFK 5 of 5 (100%)85.2%
Vaxjo Norra scored in 4 of 5 at home · IFK Karlshamn conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 2 of 3 · Vaxjo Norra: only games against sides at IFK Karlshamn's level · IFK Karlshamn: only games against sides at Vaxjo Norra's level
Vaxjo Norra Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAX 2 of 5 (40%) · IFK 5 of 5 (100%)66.7%
Vaxjo Norra scored over 1.5 in 2 of 5 at home · IFK Karlshamn conceded over 1.5 in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · H2H 2 of 3 · Vaxjo Norra: only games against sides at IFK Karlshamn's level · IFK Karlshamn: only games against sides at Vaxjo Norra's level
IFK KARLSHAMN GOALS
IFK Karlshamn Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.48
VAX 3 of 5 (60%) · IFK 2 of 5 (40%)54.8%
IFK Karlshamn scored in 3 of 5 away · Vaxjo Norra conceded in 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · H2H 1 of 3 · IFK Karlshamn: only games against sides at Vaxjo Norra's level · Vaxjo Norra: only games against sides at IFK Karlshamn's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–011.3%
Vaxjo Norra goals →
IFK Karlshamn goals ↓
0-04%
1-09%
2-011%
3-09%
4-05%
5-03%
0-13%
1-18%
2-19%
3-18%
4-15%
5-12%
0-21%
1-23%
2-24%
3-23%
4-22%
5-20.9%
0-30.4%
1-30.9%
2-31%
3-30.9%
4-30.5%
5-30.3%
0-40.1%
1-40.2%
2-40.2%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.1%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
VAXJO NORRALLWLLWWDDD1.20 PPG
IFK KARLSHAMNLDLLLWLLLL0.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
VAXJO NORRA HOMExIFK KARLSHAMN AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME1.101.70CONCEDED A GAME3.4030%CLEAN SHEETS0%26%FAILED TO SCORE22%4.40CORNERS A GAME3.331.07CARDS A GAME0.83
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.20POINTS A GAME0.50+0.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-2.33–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.65LEAGUE GAMES6
Vaxjo Norra: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
93%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
78%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
73%
NO · 85/90
VAXJO NORRA OR DRAW
77%
NO · 80/85
IFK KARLSHAMN OR DRAW
57%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
VAXJO NORRAxIFK KARLSHAMN
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.401.00CONCEDED A GAME3.202.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%80%BOTH SCORE100%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 3
VAXJO NORRA 2 · 67%DRAW 1IFK KARLSHAMN 0 · 0%
1 of 3BOTH TEAMS SCORED
2 of 3OVER 1.5 GOALS
1 of 3OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 3OVER 3.5 GOALS
2025-04-04Vaxjo Norra 2 – 0 IFK Karlshamn
2025-08-15Vaxjo Norra 0 – 0 IFK Karlshamn
2026-05-22Vaxjo Norra 2 – 1 IFK Karlshamn
TRENDS
Vaxjo Norra have scored in 70% of their games.
IFK Karlshamn have scored in 80% of their games.
Vaxjo Norra kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
IFK Karlshamn kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards