FC Supra Du Quebec vs Pacific FC
Match details. Canadian Premier League, Group Stage. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at CEPSUM Stadium.
What's at stake. FC Supra Du Quebec are 7th on 25 points after 23 games, 2 points behind York United, 11 points clear of Pacific FC. A win would take them above York United. Pacific FC are 8th on 14 points after 23 games, 11 points behind Supra du Quebec. FC Supra Du Quebec have nothing left to play for. Pacific FC have nothing left to play for.
Form. FC Supra Du Quebec have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W. In this competition FC Supra Du Quebec have gone L W L L W D. Pacific FC have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D D. In this competition Pacific FC have gone W D L D D W.
The numbers. FC Supra Du Quebec score 1.2 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Supra Du Quebec average 16.9 shots (5.6 on target), 4.9 corners and 3.7 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. Pacific FC score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Pacific FC average 14.3 shots (5.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last three meetings FC Supra Du Quebec have won two, drawn one and lost none. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 1 Aug 2026, it finished FC Supra Du Quebec 2-1 Pacific FC.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Pacific FC the likelier winners, but the meetings favour FC Supra Du Quebec. On goals, their xG points to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%; two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their xG points to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.60, 67% on the records (FC Supra Du Quebec: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10; Pacific FC: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: FC Supra Du Quebec Over 0.5 Goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); FC Supra Du Quebec or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: FC Supra Du Quebec 1-1 Pacific FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).