Forge FC Hamilton vs HFX Wanderers FC
HFX Wanderers FC scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Forge FC Hamilton conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · H2H 2 of 6 · HFX Wanderers FC: only games against sides at Forge FC Hamilton's level · Forge FC Hamilton: only games against sides at HFX Wanderers FC's level
Match details. Canadian Premier League, Group Stage. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton.
What's at stake. Forge FC Hamilton are 2nd on 47 points after 23 games, 6 points behind Cavalry FC, 7 points clear of Atlético Ottawa. HFX Wanderers FC are 5th on 26 points after 24 games, 7 points behind Vancouver FC, 1 point clear of Supra du Quebec. HFX Wanderers FC have nothing left to play for, while Forge FC Hamilton need the win.
Form. Forge FC Hamilton have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D L. In this competition Forge FC Hamilton have gone D D W D L W. HFX Wanderers FC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. In this competition HFX Wanderers FC have gone L W W L L W.
The numbers. Forge FC Hamilton score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Forge FC Hamilton average 13.2 shots (4.3 on target), 4.3 corners and 3.2 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. HFX Wanderers FC score 1.7 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. HFX Wanderers FC average 13.0 shots (5.2 on target), 3.7 corners and 1.3 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Forge FC Hamilton have won seven, drawn two and lost one. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Forge FC Hamilton won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 2 Aug 2026, it finished Forge FC Hamilton 0-0 HFX Wanderers FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. HFX Wanderers FC's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. Forge FC Hamilton to win. Their goals for and against make Forge FC Hamilton the likelier winners; Forge FC Hamilton are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Forge FC Hamilton; the meetings favour Forge FC Hamilton.
The bets. Best bet: Forge FC Hamilton or Draw at 1.13, 80% on the records (Forge FC Hamilton unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; HFX Wanderers FC failed to win 7 of 10). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.19. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Forge FC Hamilton 2-1 HFX Wanderers FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).