Match details. Liga 1. Kick-off is Mon 12 Oct, 00:30 Lagos time.
Form. Cusco FC have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L. Alianza Lima have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L D.
The numbers. Cusco FC score 2.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Cusco FC average 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Alianza Lima score 1.4 and concede one a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Alianza Lima average 4.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The case against. Alianza Lima's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Cusco FC to win. Their goals for and against make Cusco FC the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Cusco FC.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Cusco FC 1-0 Alianza Lima (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CUS 5 of 5 (100%) · ALI 10 of 10 (100%)95.1%
Cusco FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Alianza Lima: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Cusco FC: only games against sides at Alianza Lima's level · Alianza Lima: only games against sides at Cusco FC's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CUS 5 of 5 (100%) · ALI 10 of 10 (100%)93.5%
Cusco FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Alianza Lima: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Cusco FC: only games against sides at Alianza Lima's level · Alianza Lima: only games against sides at Cusco FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CUS 3 of 5 (60%) · ALI 10 of 10 (100%)88.2%
Cusco FC: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Alianza Lima: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Cusco FC: only games against sides at Alianza Lima's level · Alianza Lima: only games against sides at Cusco FC's level
CUSCO FC GOALS
Cusco FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.29
CUS 4 of 5 (80%) · ALI 8 of 10 (80%)76.3%
Cusco FC scored in 4 of 5 at home · Alianza Lima conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Cusco FC: only games against sides at Alianza Lima's level · Alianza Lima: only games against sides at Cusco FC's level
ALIANZA LIMA GOALS
Alianza Lima Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.38
CUS 9 of 10 (90%) · ALI 3 of 5 (60%)63.7%
Alianza Lima scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cusco FC conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · Alianza Lima: only games against sides at Cusco FC's level · Cusco FC: only games against sides at Alianza Lima's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–010.3%
Cusco FC goals →
Alianza Lima goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-17%
1-112%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
CUSCO FCWLWWLWLWLW1.80 PPG
ALIANZA LIMAWLDLDWDWDW1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CUSCO FC HOMExALIANZA LIMA AWAY
1.48SCORED A GAME1.631.41CONCEDED A GAME0.6770%BOTH SCORED70%20%CLEAN SHEETS20%3.96CORNERS A GAME4.782.00CARDS A GAME1.89
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.50POINTS A GAME1.44+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.33-3.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+6.81.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.08LEAGUE GAMES9
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
90%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
61%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
93%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CUSCO FC OR DRAW
83%
OKAY · 80/85
ALIANZA LIMA OR DRAW
70%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CUSCO FCxALIANZA LIMA
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.001.40CONCEDED A GAME1.002.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Cusco FC have scored in 90% of their games.
Alianza Lima have scored in 90% of their games.
Cusco FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Alianza Lima kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards