Sport Boys Association vs Alianza Atletico
Match details. Liga 1, Clausura - 11. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 21:30 Lagos time. It is played at Miguel Grau Stadium, Callao.
What's at stake. Sport Boys Association are 8th on 18 points after 10 games, level on points with FBC Melgar, level on points with Cusco. A win would take them above FBC Melgar. Alianza Atletico are 6th on 19 points after 10 games, level on points with Juan Pablo II College, 1 point clear of FBC Melgar. A win would take them above Juan Pablo II College.
Form. Sport Boys Association have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W. In this competition Sport Boys Association have gone D W L W W D. Alianza Atletico have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. In this competition Alianza Atletico have gone W L W W W D.
The numbers. Sport Boys Association score two and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Sport Boys Association average 11.2 shots (4.0 on target), 5.0 corners and 3.6 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Alianza Atletico score 1.6 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Alianza Atletico average 16.1 shots (4.8 on target), 4.9 corners and 3.6 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Sport Boys Association have won four, drawn one and lost five. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Sport Boys Association won two and Alianza Atletico won two. The last time they met, on 6 Oct 2026, it finished Sport Boys Association 0-3 Alianza Atletico: Sport Boys Association had 9 shots to 4, 57% of the ball, one yellow card.
The case against. Alianza Atletico's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. Sport Boys Association to win. A tight game. Sport Boys Association are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sport Boys Association. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Sport Boys Association or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Sport Boys Association or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Sport Boys Association 1-0 Alianza Atletico (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).