Match details. Liga 1. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time.
Form. Universitario de Deportes have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W. FBC Melgar have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L D.
The numbers. Universitario de Deportes score 1.9 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Universitario de Deportes average 5.5 corners and 1.9 cards a game. FBC Melgar score 1.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. FBC Melgar average 5.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Universitario de Deportes 2-1 FBC Melgar (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).