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PERU - LIGA 1
Universitario de Deportes crestUDUNI
01:00Sun 11 Oct
FBCFBC Melgar crestFM

Universitario de Deportes vs FBC Melgar

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. Liga 1. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time.

Form. Universitario de Deportes have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W. FBC Melgar have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L D.

The numbers. Universitario de Deportes score 1.9 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Universitario de Deportes average 5.5 corners and 1.9 cards a game. FBC Melgar score 1.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. FBC Melgar average 5.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Universitario de Deportes 2-1 FBC Melgar (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UNI 10 of 10 (100%) · FBC 4 of 5 (80%)92.6%
Universitario de Deportes: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FBC Melgar: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Universitario de Deportes: only games against sides at FBC Melgar's level · FBC Melgar: only games against sides at Universitario de Deportes's level
FBC MELGAR GOALS
FBC Melgar Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.53
UNI 3 of 5 (60%) · FBC 9 of 10 (90%)68.9%
FBC Melgar scored in 3 of 5 away · Universitario de Deportes conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · FBC Melgar: only games against sides at Universitario de Deportes's level · Universitario de Deportes: only games against sides at FBC Melgar's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.2%
Universitario de… goals →
FBC Melgar goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.8%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
UNIVERSITARIO DE DEPORTESLWDWWWDLWW2.00 PPG
FBC MELGARDWWLDWLDWW1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
UNIVERSITARIO DE DEPORTES HOMExFBC MELGAR AWAY
1.59SCORED A GAME1.671.15CONCEDED A GAME1.0770%BOTH SCORED50%10%CLEAN SHEETS40%5.48CORNERS A GAME5.221.85CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.11POINTS A GAME1.89+0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.78+0.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+8.22.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.69LEAGUE GAMES9
FBC Melgar: the quality side - more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
93%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
78%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
85%
NO · 85/90
UNIVERSITARIO DE DEPORTES OR DRAW
64%
NO · 80/85
FBC MELGAR OR DRAW
56%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
UNIVERSITARIO DE DEPORTESxFBC MELGAR
5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME1.201.80CONCEDED A GAME0.604.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE40%5.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–9.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Universitario de Deportes have scored in 80% of their games.
FBC Melgar have scored in 80% of their games.
Universitario de Deportes kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
FBC Melgar kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards
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