Match details. Liga 1. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Asociacion Deportiva Tarma have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. FC Cajamarca have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L.
The numbers. Asociacion Deportiva Tarma score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Asociacion Deportiva Tarma average 4.4 corners and 2.8 cards a game. FC Cajamarca score 1.8 and concede 2.4 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets. FC Cajamarca average 3.0 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 74%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Cajamarca or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Asociacion Deportiva Tarma Under 1.5 goals (FC Cajamarca's own games don't back it (1 of 10)). Predicted score: Asociacion Deportiva Tarma 2-1 FC Cajamarca (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).